The U.S. Federal Reserve’s surprise
decision to postpone the inevitable wind down in asset purchases for a few more
months dominated global monetary policy last week, closely followed by India’s
equally surprising decision to raise its policy rate.
Last week nine central banks took policy
decisions with seven banks keeping rates on hold (the United States, Sri Lanka,
Turkey, Ghana, Norway, Switzerland and South Africa), while Egypt again cut its
rate and India raised its rate.
The previous week 11 central banks took policy decisions, with nine keeping rates on hold (Mozambique, New Zealand, Chile, Korea, Philippines, Serbia, Macedonia, Peru and Russia) while Indonesia again raised its rate along with Pakistan.
Through the first 38 weeks of this year, central
banks have raised rates 21 times, or 5.8 percent of the 365 policy decisions
that have been taken by the 90 central banks followed by Central Bank News, up
from 5.6 percent the previous week and 5.2 percent two weeks ago.
Meanwhile, the ratio of rate cuts continues to drop. Rates have been cut
86 times this year, or 23.6 percent of this year’s policy decisions, down from
23.9 percent the previous week and 24.6 percent two weeks ago.
Emerging markets account for 43 percent of the 21 rate rises, with Brazil,
Indonesia and India accounting for eight of those rate rises.
LAST WEEK’S (WEEK 38) MONETARY POLICY DECISIONS:
| COUNTRY | MSCI | NEW RATE | OLD RATE | 1 YEAR AGO |
| SRI LANKA | FM | 7.00% | 7.00% | 7.75% |
| TURKEY | EM | 4.50% | 4.50% | 5.75% |
| GHANA | 16.00% | 16.00% | 15.00% | |
| UNITED STATES | DM | 0.25% | 0.25% | 0.25% |
| NORWAY | DM | 1.50% | 1.50% | 1.50% |
| SWITZERLAND | DM | 0.25% | 0.25% | 0.25% |
| SOUTH AFRICA | EM | 5.00% | 5.00% | 5.00% |
| EGYPT | EM | 8.75% | 9.25% | 9.25% |
PREVIOUS WEEK’S (WEEK 37) MONETARY POLICY DECISIONS:
| COUNTRY | MSCI | NEW RATE | OLD RATE | 1 YEAR AGO |
| MOZAMBIQUE | 8.75% | 8.75% | 10.50% | |
| NEW ZEALAND | DM | 2.50% | 2.50% | 2.50% |
| CHILE | 5.00% | 5.00% | 5.00% | |
| INDONESIA | EM | 7.25% | 7.00% | 5.75% |
| SOUTH KOREA | EM | 2.50% | 2.50% | 3.00% |
| PHILIPPINES | EM | 3.50% | 3.50% | 3.75% |
| SERBIA | FM | 11.00% | 11.00% | 10.50% |
| MACEDONIA | 3.25% | 3.25% | 3.75% | |
| PERU | EM | 4.25% | 4.25% | 4.25% |
| RUSSIA | EM | 8.25% | 8.25% | 8.25% |
| PAKISTAN | FM | 9.50% | 9.00% | 10.50% |
This week (week 39) 12 central banks are scheduled to hold
policy meetings, including those from Israel, Nigeria, Armenia, Hungary,
Georgia, Moldova, the Czech Republic, Taiwan, Fiji, Trinidad and Tobago, Rwanda
and Colombia.
| COUNTRY | MSCI | DATE | CURRENT RATE | 1 YEAR AGO |
| ISRAEL | DM | 23-Sep | 1.25% | 2.25% |
| NIGERIA | FM | 24-Sep | 12.00% | 12.00% |
| ARMENIA | 24-Sep | 8.50% | 8.00% | |
| HUNGARY | EM | 24-Sep | 3.80% | 6.50% |
| GEORGIA | 25-Sep | 3.75% | 5.75% | |
| MOLDOVA | 26-Sep | 3.50% | 4.50% | |
| CZECH REPUBLIC | EM | 26-Sep | 0.05% | 0.25% |
| TAIWAN | EM | 26-Sep | 1.88% | 1.88% |
| FIJI | 26-Sep | 0.50% | 0.50% | |
| TRINIDAD & TOBAGO | 27-Sep | 2.75% | 2.75% | |
| COLOMBIA | EM | 27-Sep | 3.25% | 4.75% |
| RWANDA | 27-Sep | 7.00% | 7.50% |
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